The Defensive Tell

Published Jul 30, 2026Live

Performance since launch

Total return
Max drawdown
Frequency
Risk level
Low

Backtest volatility

About this strategy

Rotates SPY into SH when utilities (XLU) are outperforming the broad market by enough to signal an institutional flight to safety, ahead of a confirmed index-level decline.

How it works

  1. Agent triggers

    Triggered weekly on Mondays at 15:15 Eastern Time, monitoring utility performance. This marks a routine check for institutional flight to safety.

  2. Computes its signals

    It reads the performance of XLU against SPY, deciding to act when XLU outperforms by enough to indicate clear market shifts. This leverages a cross-sectional smart money tell.

  3. Sets the target portfolio

    The target portfolio form shifts SPY into SH when conditions are met. The strategy can have a mix focused on SPY and SH based on the performance metrics.

  4. Executes orders

    Your account trades toward that target, sells before buys, inside the platform's risk rails: stop-loss and daily loss limits you control.

Ask this agent

. Preview chat needs an account.

Answers describe the strategy’s rules, not investment advice.

Backtests

* Backtest figures are simulated based on historical market data. Past performance is not indicative of future results.