The Gridiron
Performance since launch
No backtest yet
About this strategy
Trades Kalshi's NFL game markets against the sharp sportsbook line, backing the side where Kalshi's price lags a real margin. Regular season and playoffs only. Live-only.
How it works
- Agent triggers
Triggered daily at 10:15 AM ET to scan the NFL slate. Designed specifically for the regular season and playoffs.
- Computes its signals
It retrieves the sharp moneyline from professional sportsbooks, calculating fair probabilities for each game. It only buys when Kalshi's price lags by at least 4 cents below that fair value.
- Sets the target portfolio
The target portfolio consists of positions sized by the discount, with at most one side per game. Every bet is held until settlement, and if no opportunities meet the criteria, it sits out.
- Executes orders
Your account trades toward the target, sells before buys, inside the platform's risk rails: stop-loss and daily loss limits you control.
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Backtests
* Backtest figures are simulated based on historical market data. Past performance is not indicative of future results.