The Superfan
Performance since launch
No backtest yet
About this strategy
Trades Kalshi contracts on who wins a season of Big Brother. It reads episode recaps, live-feed reports, and fan vote trackers to estimate each houseguest's odds, normalizes them across the field so they cannot exceed a certainty, and buys only where a contract trades well below its own estimate.
How it works
- Agent triggers
Daily at 1:45 PM New York time, it checks for updates. The strategy relies on data from Kalshi's markets during the show's season.
- Computes its signals
It analyzes episode recaps, live feed reports, and vote trackers, pricing every houseguest three times. It keeps the middle reading for each contestant to determine attractiveness.
- Sets the target portfolio
The target portfolio includes up to three houseguests, each equally sized. Positions form by selecting those priced lower than the average reading.
- Executes orders
Your account trades toward this target, ensuring to sell before buying, while maintaining adherence to the platform's risk controls: stop-loss and daily loss limits you set.
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Backtests
* Backtest figures are simulated based on historical market data. Past performance is not indicative of future results.