The End Zone

About this strategy

Trades Kalshi's NFL anytime-touchdown market, backing the players Kalshi prices below the de-vigged sportsbook consensus anytime-scorer line, before kickoff and while the game is being played. Live-only.

1. Agent triggers

   Runs when an NFL game is within 90 minutes of kickoff or is currently being played. This is monitored continuously, polling every 3 minutes during games.

2. Computes its signals

   It reads the cross-book consensus anytime-touchdown price, adjusts for the sportsbook margin, and compares it to Kalshi's ask to find pricing mismatches. It buys where Kalshi is priced below fair probability by a sufficient margin.

3. Sets the target portfolio

   Each position corresponds to a single player, sized by the discount to the consensus price. The agent holds positions to settlement, with no ongoing trades if no gaps are found.

4. Executes orders

   Your account trades toward the target as positions are identified, selling before buying, inside the platform's risk rails of stop-loss and daily loss limits you control.

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Backtests