The Approval Rating
Performance since launch
No backtest yet
About this strategy
Trades Kalshi's presidential job-approval ladder, buying the bands priced below the RealClearPolitics approval average by a margin that clears the trading fee. Live-only.
How it works
- Agent triggers
Triggered daily at 1:00 PM, scanning for price gaps in presidential approval bands on Kalshi. The run starts only during trading hours.
- Computes its signals
It reads the RealClearPolitics approval average and prices the Kalshi approval ladder developing a fair value for each band. It buys only when a band trades below that value by a sufficient margin.
- Sets the target portfolio
The agent builds a target portfolio of bands that are priced attractively under fair value, committing only to bands with a defined cap for each settlement date. Each position is held until settlement.
- Executes orders
Your account trades toward that target, selling before buying, while adhering to the platform’s risk limits: stop-loss and daily loss limits you control.
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Backtests
* Backtest figures are simulated based on historical market data. Past performance is not indicative of future results.