The Full Time

Published Sep 2, 2026Live

Performance since launch

Total return
Max drawdown
Frequency
Risk level
Unrated

No backtest yet

About this strategy

Trades Kalshi's live English Premier League match-result markets (home, draw, away) while the match is being played, backing the outcome Kalshi has written off too early against a mechanical goals-to-come model. Live-only.

How it works

  1. Agent triggers

    Starts when at least one English Premier League match is in progress. Polls the live match data every few minutes.

  2. Computes its signals

    It reads the current match minute and score, modeling possible future goals to compute the chances of home win, draw, away win. It backs the outcome that Kalshi has prematurely discounted.

  3. Sets the target portfolio

    Each position in the target mix can only be a single trade per match, holding cash when no opportunity meets the threshold. Positions are based on the fair value with an emphasis on lower market prices.

  4. Executes orders

    Your account trades toward the target position, selling before buys, while adhering to risk controls like stop-loss and daily loss limits you set.

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Backtests

* Backtest figures are simulated based on historical market data. Past performance is not indicative of future results.