The Full Time
Performance since launch
No backtest yet
About this strategy
Trades Kalshi's live English Premier League match-result markets (home, draw, away) while the match is being played, backing the outcome Kalshi has written off too early against a mechanical goals-to-come model. Live-only.
How it works
- Agent triggers
Starts when at least one English Premier League match is in progress. Polls the live match data every few minutes.
- Computes its signals
It reads the current match minute and score, modeling possible future goals to compute the chances of home win, draw, away win. It backs the outcome that Kalshi has prematurely discounted.
- Sets the target portfolio
Each position in the target mix can only be a single trade per match, holding cash when no opportunity meets the threshold. Positions are based on the fair value with an emphasis on lower market prices.
- Executes orders
Your account trades toward the target position, selling before buys, while adhering to risk controls like stop-loss and daily loss limits you set.
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Backtests
* Backtest figures are simulated based on historical market data. Past performance is not indicative of future results.