The Consumer
Performance since launch
No backtest yet
About this strategy
Trades Kalshi's US retail-sales and housing-starts ladders, buying the legs priced below the published economist consensus by a margin that clears the fee. Live-only.
How it works
- Agent triggers
A run starts daily at 12:45 PM, scanning Kalshi's market for US retail sales and housing starts. The market data is live-only, ensuring timely decision-making.
- Computes its signals
It reads economists' published consensus alongside the actual market prices, evaluating discrepancies to identify tradable legs. It targets only those priced below fair value by a margin covering trading costs.
- Sets the target portfolio
Each position represents a small slice in the overall target mix, with exposure limited to a single release. It sizes positions conservatively to manage risk across releases.
- Executes orders
Your account trades toward the target, selling before buying, and operates within the platform's risk limits: stop-loss and daily loss limits you control.
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Backtests
* Backtest figures are simulated based on historical market data. Past performance is not indicative of future results.